Large passenger airplanes covered by the statistics are used by nearly all travelers on airlines but exclude small commuter airplanes in service. Over the last two decades, aviation deaths have been falling dramatically. As recently as , there were 1, deaths aboard commercial passenger flights worldwide, the Aviation Safety Network ASN said. Over the last five years, there have been an average of 14 fatal accidents for commercial passenger and cargo planes resulting in deaths annually, ASN said.
Plane crash and Fear of Flying Statistics. Share 0. Tweet 0. Pin 0. Quick Navigation. Aviophobia Fear of Flying Statistics. Plane Crash Statistics. Insert Content Template or Symbol. Sources: National Transportation Safety Board , Bureau of Transportation Statistics Notes: The figures above represent Part Air Carriers, which are major airline operators who operate on scheduled flights and monitored airspace. Arnold Barnett, MIT.
About the author. Fly Fright Staff. Post Comment. This website uses cookies to improve your experience. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Accept Read More. So if you take the total number of people killed in commercial plane crashes and divide that into the total population, the result, the risk for the average American, may be a good general guide to whether the risk is big or small, but it's not specific to your personal risk.
Then there's another numbers problem: what denominator are you using? For the math-challenged, like me, that's the number at the bottom of a fraction. You can calculate the risk of flying by:. They all produce accurate numbers, but which one is most relevant to you depends on your personal flying patterns. Some fliers take lots of short flights and some take longer ones, for example. Since the overwhelming majority of the few plane crashes that do occur take place in connection with takeoffs and landings, the risk is less a matter of how far you fly and more a matter of how often.
If you're a frequent flier, then the risk per flight means more. For occasional long-distance fliers, the risk per mile means more. A frequent, long-distance flier would want to consider both. Here's another number problem with the risk of flying: do you calculate the risk on the basis of one year, or an average of five years, or 10, or 20?
Most years no plane crashes occur, or at least very few. So the number of victims per year goes up radically in years when there are crashes.
Just look at the spikes in the number of deaths from plane crashes by year in the graph at right. Now, you may notice something a little morbid about this section: most of these statistics have to do with DEATH! But many people who are worried about flying concentrate on the fear that something will go wrong during the flight, and that the outcome of that error would be their own death.
Arnold Barnett, of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, has done extensive research in the field of commercial flight safety.
He found that over the fifteen years between and , the death risk per flight was one in seven million. That means that any time you board a flight on a major carrier in this country, your chance of being in a fatal accident is one in seven million.
In fact, based on this incredible safety record, if you did fly every day of your life , probability indicates that it would take you nineteen thousand years before you would succumb to a fatal accident. Nineteen thousand years! Perhaps you have occasionally taken the train for your travels, believing that it would be safer.
Think again. Based on train accidents over the past twenty years, your chances of dying on a transcontinental train journey are one in a million. Those are great odds, mind you. But flying coast-to-coast is ten times safer than making the trip by train. How about driving , our typical form of transportation? There are approximately one hundred and thirty people killed daily in auto accidents.
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